As Newsom Bounces Back in Polling, Professor McDaniel Analyzes Recall

Monday, September 13, 2021

KPIX-CHANNEL 5 (SAN FRANCISCO) -- The dramatic shift occurred in just a month and a half, so what might explain the changing numbers in recall polling? One very old adage in politics is to “never trust the summer polls.” While that might be an overstatement, historically there are reasons to question what pollsters hear from voters in late July.

“They’re often being polled before a large segment of the electorate is really paying attention to an election,” said SFSU Political Science Professor Jason McDaniel. “Especially in an off year, and a recall election like we’re seeing here this time.”